The data say Texas should expand Medicaid

The data say Texas should expand Medicaid

It was with a mixture of disdain and gratitude that I read in this newspaper David Balat’s April 24 op-ed, in which he purports to beat the badly concussed Medicaid expansion horse a little closer to death with another round of … the same old arguments. Why gratitude? We’re back in the news!

The best and worst of the 87th Legislature, from a Democrat

Texas State Senator Nathan Johnson | Priorities: Nathan Johnson for Texas State Senate, District 16

By Nathan Johnson | Dallas News

Dallas area delegation to the Texas Senate, includes Sen. Nathan Johnson, D-Dallas in action during May, 2021 of the the 87th Texas Legislative Session. (Bob Daemmrich / Bob Daemmrich/CapitolPressPhoto)

Sen. Nathan Johnson on what Texans got from an ugly session.

“I hate these bills,” I overheard a Republican senator muttering late in the 87th Legislative session.The senator, I noticed, voted for the bills anyway.Now we hear boasting: “The most conservative session ever.” So why are some so glum over on the Republican side? And why were veteran members of both parties and Capitol insiders from across the ideological spectrum saying that this was “the worst session ever” (and other things less fit for print)?

Because the session was ugly. Ugly in content and ugly in process, and it caused damage. Flooding the House and Senate with messaging bills for Republican primary voters drowned much of the routine work that makes Texas run. We passed 25% fewer bills this Republican-controlled session than we did last Republican-controlled session.

Are we getting more efficient? Seems not. Whatever your views on abortion, is 60 bills too many? After 22,000 hours of taxpayer-funded attorney general investigations found essentially no material evidence of voter fraud last year, did we need 49 bills restricting the vote? (For what it’s worth, I offered last session to work with Republicans on paper-trail voting systems, but never received a phone call.)

No, the session was not about legislative efficiency in the context of COVID-19 constraints. It was politics over policy, a vain exercise in Republican base drumming. It not only marginalized good, productive efforts by Democrats, it marginalized good, productive efforts by Republicans. It pitted governor against lieutenant governor against speaker, House against Senate, Republican against Republican against Democrat against Democrat. Ugly.

The good

It wasn’t all bad. Largely through the strained goodwill among members, the legislative process did manage to eke out some wins for kids and adults and businesses in Texas. There is hope.Some things need the full confidence of the public at large, not merely of partisan base voters; things such as COVID-19 liability and a failed power system. Unlike many other bills, the COVID-19 bill was developed with a broad range of input from competing groups with competing interests. The bill underwent significant changes from start to finish and improved with each iteration, including a final amendment I offered on the senate floor that won over complete bipartisan support. That’s how this stuff is supposed to work.February’s winter storms destroyed any illusions about the adequacy of the Texas power system. Legislators had precious little time to figure out how to contend with the storm damage, to diagnose the failures and prescribe fixes. Not surprisingly, our progress was partial and imperfect. But work on the “grid” was serious and substantive, with key roles played by Democrats and Republicans. Although nothing in politics happens without partisan influence, work on the grid came closer than most. (Alas, the governor chose to bring only Republicans to the signing ceremony. Seems we hide bipartisanship these days.)Despite the difficulties, relationships still mattered. With almost no time left in the session, Republican senators helped me pass legislation to create a new market for teen mental-health services, answering a profound need for Texas kids and their families. Here and in many other instances, Democrats and Republicans helped each other overcome obstacles, gain support and legitimacy, and improve legislation.

The bad

How does it make sense for the Legislature to pass legislation that is opposed by a supermajority of the voting population (permitless gun carry) and reject legislation supported by a supermajority of the voting population (Medicaid expansion)? It doesn’t. But that’s what we’ve come to.Session after session, some character pretends to be more patriotic than others by promoting a twisted pledge of allegiance to the Second Amendment. This time around it was a vision that negates the right of all Texans to live in a state where possession of lethal firearms is subject to a process of permitting and training. There’s nothing constitutional about it. Gun owners don’t buy it. In fact, some 80% of Texans thought that we ought to leave the permitting and training process alone.Few legislators liked the idea, and far fewer wanted it to come to the floor. But leadership insisted, and they got their way. One by one, frightened at the prospect of being branded an opponent of gun rights, Republicans collapsed under the pressure of a Republican primary.The most astonishing failure of the session was the refusal — again — to expand health insurance coverage under the Affordable Care Act. And it was a baldly partisan failure. Achievable through straight Medicaid expansion or through a waiver that allows for a customized Texas plan (a politically conservative solution which I offered: Senate Bill 117), it would have brought to the state billions in revenue without a tax, health insurance to around a million Texans, strengthened public and private health systems, stabilized family finances, created hundreds of thousands of jobs and hundreds of billions of dollars in state product. For all this, not even a hearing.And finally there’s “election integrity.” Everyone supports election integrity. But did I mention the 22,000 hours? Any shred of integrity the bill itself had was lost late in the process, when proponents insisted on making it worse, not better. That caused the nuclear-option walkout in the House with an hour left in session. It may have been the one instance in which the wasting of time on divisive culture wars prevented further wasting of time on divisive culture wars.

The direction

The radical, hollow and largely pointless session agenda left fiscal prudence and limited government — principles long and unfairly claimed by self-styled conservatives — outside in the rain. It damaged relationships in both parties, impairing our ability to forge solutions informed by broader perspective and greater wisdom, as we were (nevertheless) able to do with COVID-19 and electricity bills.The good measures we were able to pass offer hope, some strong relationships will survive, and the failure of so many divisive bills does itself provide a bit of reassurance about the integrity of the process.But now, how much of the unproductive showpieces will end up in a special session? Few legislators are looking forward to it.I composed this op-ed for the Dallas Morning News. Reproduced above in very slightly edited form, the original published version appears here. —NJ

The Voter Suppression in Dallas That No One Is Talking About

Polling station in Dallas | Priorities: Nathan Johnson for Texas State Senate, District 16

D Magazine | By Alex Macon

This one weird trick could double Dallas' low voter turnout. So why don't city leaders want to try it?

In his last year in office, former Mayor Mike Rawlings made it known there was one more big thing he wanted to do: move city elections from May to November. For City Council and mayoral races, voter turnout in Dallas is among the worst in the country. Moving these elections to November, when voters here tend to put up more respectable numbers deciding on state and national contests, would increase participation in local politics. Almost nobody disputes this.

Simple enough, then. Move local Election Day to November and watch turnout shoot up. But Rawlings couldn’t get it done by the time his term ended. He didn’t really get that close. And among elected officials in Dallas, this was—and remains—a lonely position.

“Politicians don’t want it, because they want to stay elected. As long as they keep turnout down, they think they’ve figured out how to stay elected,” Rawlings said this week. It’s been more than two years since he left office, and more than two years since he failed to get local elections moved to November. It’s still pretty easy to get the former mayor fired up on the subject.

We’re worse off as a city when a small amount of voters decide who has power, Rawlings says, and he’s “blown away” that people opposed to restrictive new voting rules being considered by the Texas Legislature aren’t also “out rallying about” how holding municipal elections in May privileges a select few voters. (A separate bill now being floated by state lawmakers would allow Texas cities to change their local election dates; more on that in a bit.)

“I find very few elected officials that think this is a good idea,” he says. “Sad to say, most of them believe an educated small group of voters is better than a large amount of turnout. The last time I looked, that’s voter suppression.”

Politicians prefer the status quo and the media doesn’t cover it, and so many voters understandably don’t even know when Election Day falls in May, he says. Turnout for Saturday’s Dallas City Council elections was as low as ever. Dallas County registered a turnout of less than 10 percent of registered voters, which is especially bleak when compared to the record-breaking 66 percent who showed up for last November’s presidential election.

“As you will see with the City Council election runoffs in June, in some of these races there will be 50 or 100 people who decide the future of major issues in this city,” Rawlings says. 

History backs him up there, and the numbers also support the notion that holding local elections in November would juice turnout. In the last decade, Texas cities including Austin and El Paso moved city council and mayoral elections from May to November of even-numbered years and watched their turnout improve. Austin’s turnout for its 2018 mayoral election was over 41 percent, almost three and a half times Dallas’ turnout for our mayoral race in 2019. (Voters in Austin, who moved mayoral elections to even-numbered years coinciding with gubernatorial races in 2012, on Saturday approved switching again to line them up with presidential elections.)

Houston has long held its city elections in November of odd-numbered years, when they won’t coincide with presidential, gubernatorial, or federal mid-term elections. Even that works better. Houston voters regularly turn out in much greater relative numbers than their counterparts in Dallas, San Antonio, and Fort Worth, three cities that continue to hold elections in May. In 2019, when all four cities held mayoral elections, Dallas had 12.5 percent turnout. San Antonio was at 11.5 percent and Fort Worth a little more than 9 percent. In Houston, turnout topped 22 percent. You don’t see this turnout disparity for presidential elections.

This is according to data compiled by federal political analyst David de la Fuente, a Dallas resident who is drafting a white paper that urges the city of Dallas, Dallas ISD, and Dallas College to move their elections to November of odd-numbered years. There would be some kinks to work out (Dallas ISD would have to change its trustees’ three-year term lengths, for example), but the transition would be relatively smooth and the benefits are extremely clear. Consolidating elections would be cheaper, for one thing, de la Fuente writes. It would increase turnout, as the cases of other cities in Texas demonstrate. And it would be the right thing to do.

“Low turnout is the cause of the battle between structural impediments and apathy,” de la Fuente writes. “By reducing the structural impediments, Dallas can make a promise to its voters that turning out isn’t such a hassle…Dallas’ local governments can make a promise to voters that if they just show up every November, they won’t miss a chance to elect a government of their choosing at every level from president to school board.”

Those structural impediments aren’t easy to overcome, as shown by Rawlings’ previous efforts. Whatever pushback he might have received from his elected colleagues at the time, the former mayor’s public drive to move elections also hit a dead end in Austin. Two years ago this month, Rawlings spoke to legislators in support of a bill that would have allowed city council members and then voters in Dallas to decide whether to move local elections to November.

It’s unclear whether other Texas cities that changed their election dates in the last 10 years applied for state permission before the fact. Changes to Dallas’ city charter, which outlines the date for municipal elections, require voter approval. Typically, to get proposed changes to the charter on the ballot, you need the support of a majority of City Council members or a petition collecting the signatures of more than 10 percent of registered voters in Dallas. “We can do petitions, but the easiest thing is to get it done in a legislative session,” Rawlings says. “They gave permission to Austin and El Paso and Houston. They didn’t give us the permission.”

Rawlings says the city attorney told him that this sort of legislative approval was required. (The city attorney’s office didn’t respond to my messages; a city of El Paso spokesperson sent over the minutes of a 2013 meeting in which the city council there voted to put an election date change to the city charter on the ballot, which as far as I can tell makes no mention of legislative permission.) Rawlings’ recollection does jibe with the memory of state Sen. Nathan Johnson, D-Dallas, who filed the 2019 bill that would have cleared the way for Dallas to take the issue to voters.

“As I recall, statutorily the only cities that could do that have been given permission by the legislature,” Johnson says. “They [Austin and El Paso] had already been given permission.”

Whatever the case may be, the bill died.

“It shot out of the Senate like 30-to-1 or something,” he says. “In the House, there was substantial resistance. It turned partisan, frankly. There were conservative Republicans in the Senate who thought it was awesome. Conservative Republicans in the House thought it was some sort of ploy to get people to vote more often.”

It may have been another victim of the battle over local control between the Texas Legislature and Texas cities, which has grown fiercer in recent years. “There is a really strong bent in the Legislature these days to control decisions that might be made better at the municipal level,” Johnson says.

But even as state lawmakers now consider new rules that would make voting significantly harder for many residents, another bill has surfaced this legislative session. This time it is a House bill “authorizing certain political subdivisions to change the date on which their general election for officers is held.” House Bill 2640 would let any city in Texas take steps to change their elections to be held in November. The bill has made its way out of the house and to the senate, says Johnson, who’s supportive of moving local elections to November for many of the same reasons as Rawlings.

It’s true that, if local elections were moved to November in even-numbered years, voters hoping to cast a ballot for their presidential or congressional pick may not bother with the unrecognizable city council candidates whose names would appear toward the bottom of the ballot. But “even if you assume a ridiculously high rate of ballot dropoff, you’re still going to triple your voter turnout,” Johnson says.

It’s also true that federal and state elections get more attention than city contests, but Dallas’ perennially low voter turnout seems like evidence that local candidates aren’t exactly grabbing the spotlight even with less crowded ballots in the spring. And voters can still get informed about City Council races alongside items higher on the ballot.

“While I understand that national and state issues might overshadow local elections, it’s not like these [local] issues are getting a whole hell of a lot of attention outside of yard signs,” Johnson says.

“Most of them believe an educated small group of voters is better than a large amount of turnout. The last time I looked, that’s voter suppression.”

FORMER MAYOR MIKE RAWLINGS

Opponents of moving local elections to November often fret that it would inject partisanship into ostensibly nonpartisan city elections. (Partisan elections, as a rule, do have higher turnout.) Yet even if they don’t have a D or an R next to their name, local candidates nevertheless have a partisan bent and often have partisan organizations behind them, Johnson says. “I personally would rather see more people decide on elections.”

With battles over voting rights taking place across the country, it’s evident that most discussions of expanding or restricting voting access are in fact framed in partisan terms. It’s almost refreshing that the opposition in Dallas to moving elections to November is so nonpartisan.

It comes from all over the political spectrum. An interest group that is already active in local politics, be it a parent-teacher association or a police union or a homeowners’ Facebook group united against high-density housing, may have a stake in keeping turnout low. If hardly anybody votes, activists and members of organized groups who do vote make up more of the electorate. With the majority of potential voters silenced, certain voices get a louder say.

Research shows this tends to disproportionately benefit people who are more highly educated, wealthier, and usually Whiter than nonvoters. In Saturday’s City Council elections, northern council districts saw much higher voter turnout than southern districts, which is typical. (Dallas’ single-member council districts prevent voters in the northern half of the city from stacking the city council, but the mayor is elected at-large.)

By keeping local elections in May, you might get a more engaged or more informed electorate, although a whole lot of hand-wringing over so-called low-information voters feels misplaced. Who’s to say that a November voter wouldn’t take the time to read a voter guide about City Council candidates, or that a May voter is making a deeply thought-out choice in line with their principles rather than a gut pick based on a misleading campaign mailer they saw about defunding the police? Human nature is irrational, no matter when we vote. Regardless, it’s clear that at the very least our current electorate is not representative of the people who live in this city.

State legislators may or may not give the OK for cities to move their elections. Without a champion for November elections on the Dallas City Council, it might not matter. A spokesman for Mayor Eric Johnson didn’t respond to an email.

That doesn’t mean council members are necessarily happy with the status quo of low turnout. Councilman Casey Thomas, who cruised to re-election Saturday with 2,530 votes (or more than 82 percent of ballots cast in District 3 in southern Dallas), was active in voter outreach efforts last year despite not being on the ballot. He does not, however, support moving local elections to November. Yes, turnout would increase, because people would be voting on other races, he says. Yet that “takes some of the onus of responsibility off of the [local] candidates,” he says. “The candidates should be responsible for encouraging people to vote.”

Last summer, Thomas started a group called Our Vote Is Our Voice to engage voters ahead of July primaries and November’s presidential election. The nonpartisan group got volunteers to write down the names of five other people, and then invited them to vote. On Election Day, Thomas and others organized a “vote caravan,” driving through neighborhoods in southern Dallas, Oak Cliff, and South Dallas to get out the vote. They got pastors to urge their congregations to go vote after (mostly virtual) church services. They organized voter registration drives at barbershops and beauty shops. They reached out to formerly incarcerated people as well as young adults and others that tend to vote in lower numbers, telling everybody, everywhere: go vote.

Thomas thinks turnout is so low for local elections in part because there hasn’t been a concerted effort to keep people engaged year-round, in between elections. Some of the work Our Vote Is Our Voice plans to do in the future involves voter education, whether it’s in the form of voter guides or the block-by-block grassroots work it’s already done. “You have to identify those issues that are important to people on a local level,” he says.

That kind of outreach is surely necessary to any serious effort to increase our miserable voter turnout and involve residents in the democratic process. But if city leaders discard the possibility of moving local elections, they’re giving up a proven way to get people to the polls. They’re also discounting what voters apparently want. In cities like Austin and El Paso, it was voters—not city or state officials—who ultimately decided when they wanted their elections to be held. In Dallas, it doesn’t look like we’re even going to get the choice.

“We have to believe that our society will be better the more people we get involved,” Rawlings says. “One of the ways we get involved is voting.”

What Dallas needs to decide is whether we do actually believe that. Then the choice becomes simple. Our options become clear. We either want more people to vote—or we don’t.